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Week Ending December 13th 2008

Posted Sun 7 Dec 2008 10:07PM GMT by James Masterton in Chart Watch UK

I'm consistently entertained by the ever growing gap between the two methods of music consumption - the old-school world of freshly minted CDs and eager shop-bound purchases, and the bold new age of digital purchasers, where music is brought to the consumer by means of a single click. The different issues this throws up are nicely highlighted this week by the two stories that developed at the summit of the singles and albums charts.

The story of the album chart was the simultaneous release of two almost identically titled albums and no small measure of concern about whether there was going to be enough product available to satisfy demand. Having enough people to buy your music is one thing, actually getting the stuff into the shops is another thing altogether, and the collapse into administration a week ago of the Woolworths Group and in particular its distribution arm EUK left several labels scrambling for alternatives. EUK's share of the market was quite considerable, with many of the majors trusting the logistics of getting discs into stores to the company. With its future on a less than sound financial footing, handing over thousands of freshly minted CDs was seen as more of a risk than many were willing to take and so at the very last minute some important plans were changed. This left more than few retailers sweating on the prospect of consumers seeking copies of both 'The Circus' by Take That and 'Circus' by Britney Spears and the nightmare scenario that they would run short of stock within a few days - just as the Christmas shopping rush got into full swing.

In the end it appears that any problems of supply were limited, but far from being the two horse race many predicted, it is Take That who end up the runaway winners. They crash into the Number One position and leaving Ms Spears languishing at Number 4. Indeed such was the lack of supply problems that 'The Circus' clocked up a phenomenal first week sale of over 432,000 copies, enough to rank as the third highest one week sale of all time in this country. Only 'X&Y' and 'Be Here Now' can boast a seven day sale higher than this - that is the league in which Take That are now operating. The chances of the man band having the biggest selling album of the holiday period look extremely likely.

This will inevitably sweeten the pill of seeing their single 'Greatest Day' deposed from its own Number One position after a solitary week, replaced instead by the lady who is fast becoming their own chart nemesis. In one of those strange coincidences that synchronised release schedules sometimes manage to throw up, they are replaced at Number One by the same act that deposed 'Patience' from top in 2006 and who prevented 'Rule The World' from topping the chart in 2007 - Leona Lewis.

She does so with a track that is firmly in the new world of digital sales, for not only is 'Run' technically nothing more than an album track subject to enormous public demand, but in seven days it has notched up a staggering 133,000 downloaded copies - officially the greatest ever single week sale for an exclusively digital track. Much as we criticised the decision of her label to delay the digital availability of the brand new tracks from the deluxe re-release of her debut album 'Spirit', it now looks to be a masterstroke of marketing. Following her show-stopping debut of the recording on the X Factor show a few weeks ago and near saturation airplay ever since, her mesmerising cover of the Snow Patrol hit has been the most anticipated single release I can remember for some considerable time. A Number One (her third, for anyone counting) was all but guaranteed but I don't think anyone could have predicted just what a success it has turned out to be.

For all that, opinion on the single itself is actually rather divided. It is a theme that will actually become even more relevant as we march towards the Christmas chart, but your view on the record is almost certainly coloured by your regard for the original version (which slips to Number 42 this week following its own spontaneous resurrection a fortnight ago). If you thought Snow Patrol were definitive, then the lavish production of the Leona Lewis version and her trademark vocal trilling will seem rather irritating and will only serve to suck the life out of the simple beauty of the song. On the other hand if you are like me and had little regard for the original, then you will be absolutely knocked sideways by this new version. Leona's 'Run' is that rare beast, a pop record with the power to knock you sideways with its intensity and all but compel you to pay close attention to the crystal clear beauty of her voice and the way it drags the track to a whole new level.

Its success, and commanding lead over the rest of the market, means that 'Run' is in pole position to head the "Christmas Number One without X Factor" market, and indeed Paddy Power at the time of writing has the track installed as the 10-11 odds-on favourite. Listeners to the podcast three weeks ago who took me up on my advice to back her then when she was as far out as 8-1 should be well on their way to a nice early Christmas bonus.

Now she may have missed out in the albums race, but the week long Britney Spears bandwagon that has rolled into town has at least helped her where singles are concerned. Lead track 'Womanizer' which had fallen as far back as Number 9 a fortnight ago rebounds in spectacular fashion to land a brand new peak of Number 3. Perhaps more intriguingly though is the unexpected Top 40 debut at Number 32 of the albums title track 'Circus'. Already being promoted to radio Stateside, and with the release of its video brought forward this week following an internet leak, the track is technically slated to be her next single proper on these shores too - but not until well into the new year. This may of course be just a one-off bounce thanks to cherrypicking of the best tracks from the album (of which 'Circus' is most definitely one) but it does mean that the eventual impact of the new single is going to be lessened when it finally does make its way onto release schedules.

The two Britney singles are actually just a small part of an extraordinary characteristic of this weeks Top 10. No less than eight of the ten acts at the top of the table can boast two (and in one case three) simultaneous Top 40 singles at the present time. Just count them:

  • Leona Lewis - 'Run' (No.1) and 'Forgive Me' (No.24)
  • Take That - 'Greatest Day' (No.2) and 'Rule The World' (No.40)
  • Britney Spears - 'Womanizer' (No.3) and 'Circus' (No.32)
  • Katy Perry - 'Hot N Cold' (No.4) and 'I Kissed A Girl' (No.38)
  • Beyonce - 'If I Were A Boy' (No.6) and 'Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It)' (No.37)
  • Rihanna - 'Live Your Life' (No.7 with TI), 'Rehab' (No.20) and 'Disturbia' (No.35)
  • Akon - 'Right Now (Na Na Na) (No.8) and 'Dangerous' (No.26 with Kardinal Offishall)
  • Kings Of Leon - 'Use Somebody' (No.10) and 'Sex On Fire' (No.14)

What if Oasis released a new single and nobody really cared? Such is the fate that has befallen 'I'm Outta Time' which makes its chart debut at Number 12 as the second chart single from the 'Dig Out Your Soul' album. Their problem is that with this album they have fallen victim to what I term "Depeche Mode syndrome" where a long established act slips into a seemingly endless pattern of releasing albums that are no better and no worse than any of their others, but which as a consequence make little or no cultural impact and sell only to an ever constant hard core of collectors and fans. When I voiced this theory to a well known industry mogul once he responded with "who are we to make value judgements ?" Well sorry, but I am. I want to hear great acts making music that still matters, that adds to their opus and which dare I say it, has a point to it and proves they still have something to contribute. By charting at Number 12 and almost inevitably progressing no further, 'I'm Outta Time' is destined to become only the third official Oasis single ever to miss the Top 10, and the first to fall short since 'Shakermaker' hit Number 11 way back in the summer of 1994.

Seeing as we are two weeks away from the Christmas chart, we must naturally pay due attention to the arrival of an important annual tradition. I refer of course to the one achingly credible club hit which always seems to grab itself a place in the Christmas charts and which serves as an oddly comforting reminder that it isn't all about sentimental slush and irritating novelty hits which have no business muscling in on the most hectic sales period of the year. Leading the charge to become this years 'Heartbroken' or 'Boogie 2Nite' is 'Cash In My Pocket' from Wiley which lands at Number 18. Technically it is actually just the follow- up to his breakthrough smash hit 'Wearing My Rolex' from earlier in the summer, but in a chart that is largely devoid for the moment of any strong influences from clubland (I'm still of a generation which is having trouble adjusting to the notion of Guru Josh being cool), it is worth welcoming the single as a neat injection of credibility. I suspect however that it will be heading south before the parties really kick in which is a bit of a shame. Also featuring on the single is Daniel Merriweather, the Australian singer who first came to attention as the vocalist on Mark Ronson's 'Stop Me' in 2007. Reports are that he has a solo album of his own set for release in 2009, so chalk him up as a name to watch out for.

OK then I'll stop teasing. What is now certain to become the annual invasion of the Christmas classics is well underway with 'All I Want For Christmas Is You' now charting at Number 17, 'Fairytale Of New York' arriving at Number 19 and 'Last Christmas' at Number 36. As an entertaining diversion, bookmakers such as Paddy Power are also publishing odds on what will be the highest charting seasonal classic come Christmas week itself. Based on last years performance (and it seems chart trends thus far) it is the Mariah Carey track which is the clear favourite with The Pogues not far behind. If we are short of amusement in a fortnights time, I may take time out to note whether the Christmas hits all line up in the same sales order as last year. How strange would that be?

Gratuitous plugs to end with this week, remember the annual Record Of The Year TV shows from a few years back? Well the organisers still run the popular vote online even in the absence of a televised special. At the moment the race is too close to call, although thankfully the early lead of 'Rockstar' is well on its way to being whittled away to nothing.

Also of interest to chart fans is a two part BBC Radio 2 documentary on our favourite musical medium "Straight In At Number One" which is being broadcast on Saturday nights at the moment. Part One went out last weekend, with Part Two following at 7pm. Yes, it cleverly clashes with the X Factor final but it is worth checking out via your preferred catch up service. You may recognise at least one of the "experts" featured within.

Oh yes, and if we are permitted a small flashback to the events of four weeks ago it was fun to read some disparaging comments in relation to my reaction to Will Young's track 'Grace' bombing out at Number 35. "James Masterton need shed no tears for Will Young's new single Grace reaching 35 in the charts, it's not released until Dec.1st. Do try to keep up James!" was one of my favourite ones. This week the single was indeed released "properly" and bounces back from the depths to a new peak of, er Number 33. Still far and away his worst chart performance ever and one that more or less kills any further promotion for the album stone dead. See, I'm not always just pretending to know what I'm talking about. Do try to keep up.

105 Comments

1. woody132 -
Poor Will Young-

Love Leona's 'Run'-

Britney is Ace- Circus'll be huge-

Katy Perry's Single is Cool and i can't beleive the Pussycat dolls "i Hate this part" has been such a dud... i like it- watch out for the scene stealing wolf in the video!

Any sign of Madonna's "Miles Away"?!

I am an avid Cd single purchaser and have been for 6 years, i refuse to get I tunes or "Download" music legally or illegally- Keep the cd Single Alive!

this digital age is starting to dominate the charts as you say James and It saddenns me deeply...

Oh well- Merry Xmas ya filthy Animals-

Sugababes- No can do- HIT OR FLOP?!

2. Yahoo! Music User -
Hi James,

Interesting chart analysis. I stumbled upon your blog/site whilst surfing to find the whole Top 75 "singles" chart and as I always find chart chat interesting, I'll be back for more!

As someone who loathes the Simon Cowell reality/karaoke singers and their inevitable mayfly-short chart careers, I can't help but feel a bit smug about Will Young's decline back towards obscurity. His last album and its attendant singles under-achieved and the new one's doing even worse. Perhaps the media will quietly take him down from their awed "Mr" Will Young pedestal now?

I have to disagree with you, though, re Leona Lewis and her version of 'Run' not just because she falls into the Cowell category. Snow Patrol's quiet original was an understated, powerful effort - Leona just bellows the thing in her usual poor-man's-Mariah style, with no feel for or apparent comprehension of what she's singing. Overblown production doesn't help. Its promotion - oh, look, she's on Cowell's show again - has helped raised her profile too as her last couple of singles have fallen short of expectations. She's just another hard sell from the cynical world of Cowell and co and I've little or not time for such artificial fare.

Keep up the good work though!!!

3. Yahoo! Music User -
Great blog as ever James.

Bit of a shame about the early Christmas rush, otherwise Jeff Buckley would have landed at No. 40 with "Hallelujah". Maybe next week. Whilst it is great to see Leona's version of "Run" at No.1, the Live Lounge version she did on Jo Whiley's show about a year ago is much better than the download. It's on You Tube, but it doesn't seem to be available to download anywhere. If anyone knows where you can buy it, please post a link on here. Also, what happened to The Streets' "Heaven For The Weather"? Thought that would have been a hit this week.

4. Yahoo! Music User -
Awsome blog writing as ever James! Keep it up!
Hey everyone! How iis it going? I hope everyone is getting excited about Christmas! I know I am! :)

Ah well, i suppose #12 for Oasis is still a hit! at least it fared better than Mcfly...I'm actually considering getting Oasis' "Dig Out Your Soul" album, anyone recommend? :)

I just looked at the UK Singles Chart on "www.acharts.us" and when i finished looking i found something i think everyone either forgot about or completely ignored...Craig David! His single from his greatest hits album only reached #43! I smell the end of his music career approaching...

Although i do not like Leona Lewis (or anthing X Factor related), i think its nice to congratulate a song when it reaches #1. Hey, its not an easy task :) So well done Leona for scoring your 3rd UK #1! and for de-throning Take That for the 3rd time lol

Oh, and well done Kings of Leon for achieving a Top 10 follow-up to their #1 smash "Sex On Fire" I believe "Use Somebody" is their second Top 10 hit?

Shame about The Script not going Top 20 with "Breakeven", but still reckon #24 is a good peak :)

Oh...The Pussycat Dolls have missed the Top 10 for the 1st time...shame as i thought "I Hate This Part" was much better than "When I Grow Up" and was easily Top 10 material...

Looks like Mariah Carey's "All I Want For Christmas Is You" might return to the Top 10 :) It would be awsome if it finally reached #1 lol

James Morrisson should gatecrash the Top 20 on sunday with "Broken Strings" a song which definetely deserves a Top 20 placing! :)

Oh...thats weird, i see a new entry for Basshunter at #41 with a song called "Jingle Bells" hmm...I thought "I Miss You" was his next single...and "Jingle Bells" isn't on the Now Your Gone album. Oh well maybe the 2 songs will be released together in time for Christmas :)
wow, big drops for Madonna (39-68), Mcfly (18-54) and The Bellamy Brothers (36-73) this week...

And finally from me, grrr "Lost!" by Coldplay chart higher than #54 darn it! lol Hope their next single returns them to the Top 10 :) Its supposed to be "Life In Technicolour II" :)

Anyway, enough from me. Now just to sit back and read everyone elses ideas and opinions! :) Happy debating guys :)

5. Yahoo! Music User -
So let me get this straight...Leona Lewis' Run gets a physical release the week before Christmas right? So it contends for the Christmas #1 spot? If thats right, that means even if The X Factor winner doesn't get Christmas #1, Leona might? In that case, the charts are once again doomed thanks to the X Factor...

*sigh...well heres hoping we at least get some new awsome Top 20 hits in time for the week of Christmas :)

6. Yahoo! Music User -
Heard that the BBC are thinking about bringing back TOTP which is good news. The bad news is that Fearne Cotton & Reggie Yates are being touted as the presenters. Does nobody at the BBC listen to the shambles they make of the Radio 1 chart show? Those two muppets presenting a 'revived' TOTP would be as popular as putting Karen Matthews in charge of the local creche!

7. Imaani B -
Yay! Britneys broken into the top 3! LOVE Womanizer, and it sees her back on form. I was rather hoping it would become her 6th number 1 single but alas it doesnt look to be that way........
(ps: Britney reminds me of a younger Madonna in her 'Circus' video or is it just me?!)

Its amazing just how many christmas singles have smashed their way into the top 75! Im not surprised Mariah Carey is doing better than the others......its the most jovial effort around in my opinion and captures the spirit of x-mas really well.

Im shocked at Madonnas fall from the top 40! Didnt see that one coming! Her record company need shooting for the shameless underpromotion of her single release. I mean, even i didnt realise that she had released her single if it wasnt for seeing it on the top 40 last week! Its quite a cool track too. Shame.

Comment 6. Im from Dewsbury and the shameful Karen Matthews didnt live too far from me,...... forget about putting her incharge of the creche, i sincerely doubt she could even spell the word! lol

Great commentary though James..... xXx

8. Yahoo! Music User -
I think dating online is really nice. My friend recommended me a very interesting and HOT place **********INTERRACIALLOVING.COM********** where many fans are together, also I've meet kinds of black and white singles who are hunger for true love online.

9. Bob7071 -
Hey James keep up ! In your podcast you implied that Diana was being well voted for because the original of her cover was selling well. I was relying on you being right, but blandness reigns supreme in the X-Factor and the only truely original artist this year hasn't even made the final.

Reckon she could make the singles chart one day - with a Cranberries cover maybe.

I'm off to see the Pogues this week, and for the second year in a row I will hear them sing a song at the top of the charts - Fairytale of New York, of course.

I'm hoping Bowie and Bing ride high on the back of the Wogan/Aled release. I'm a Bowie fan and that song is the only way he's guaranteed a hit these days.

Finally on the Oasis, I like your Depeche Mode comment, I hadn't noticed that and I think you are spot on, but the availability of CD singles is a huge factor here. I've noticed that the supermarkets are stocking a select few once again, but essentially these are exclusively X-Factor / Cheesey / Charity / bland R&B, and this must be stopping any non-formula records becoming hits.

More people might have bought the Oasis single (for their Dad for Xmas!) if it had been one of the 5 or 6 singles that these shops are making available, rather than having to seek it out at specialist record shops/sites.

10. Yahoo! Music User -
Yup, Madge is literally miles away from the UK now and it seems that even her die-hard fans have deserted her. I guess that a (weak) song that was about her relationship with Guy was never going to make that much of an impact once they had divorced!

How the mighty are fallen!!!

11. Steve -
Thanks James. It is a real pleasure to serendipitise a site where the lead article is passionate, knowlegeable, articulate and free! I was sucked into chart interest way back when, and this is is the best precis of the week that I have ever come across. Most of the comments seem well thought out as well so keep it up readers and writers.

For the radio two shows I would a) Download 'Audacity' (A Free, seemingly benign audio software programme), b) go to the BBC's Radio two listen agains, c) set Audacity running, d) set the programme going, e) save it as a WAV or MP3.

Can we organise a raffle with say 10,000 tickets at a pound each, the winner gets to make a record and all 9,999 runners up get that record - bing, guaranteed top 50!?

Thanks again, I'll be back next monday morning, Steve

12. Regino -
Please remove post 8! If Post 8 is removed then this post is dead.

Leona = Awesome
Take That = Awesome
Wiley = not sure about the song...

X Factor will get another Xmas no. 1 again... bleeding heck...

13. Yahoo! Music User -
In response to some of post no 2, pmount37.

You're very harsh on Will Young. I'm not Will Young fan, but I do recognise when a reality tv show has produced a genuine talent. For it to take six and a half years for one of his singles to miss the Top 11, that's not a bad run. Compare Will's career to that of other Pop Idol / Popstars/ X Factor winners such as - HearSay, Michelle McManus, Steve Brookstein and maybe realise that Will is not all that bad.

James has already summed up that people either love or loathe Leona's Run based on their opinion of the Snow Patrol original, just as in 1994 people were equally split over Mariah's cover of Without You, and that was a #1 single too. Having a pop at a #1 single's performer is a bit offensive to those that have made that single #1. Not everyone that loves Leona or her version of Run has been sucked in by Simon Cowell.

14. CJ -
Post 10 that is a load of rubbish. Madonna has had top 10 hits consistently over 25 years, I mean someone doesnt have a top 10 hit with one song and you say how the mighty have fallen, how pathetic, don't slag off someone because your success is nowhere near hers and her fans havent deserted her at all, I prefer to buy the CD Maxi Single with 7 Mixes instead of the 2 Mix one in the UK and Miles Away isnt a bad track.

It's a shame Leone didn't release her version of Run last week so she could have stopped Take That's drivel at Number one, what a terrible record that is, we know what the housewives were doing last week then.

And yes please delete post 8, what the hell is that all about!

15. CJ -
Post 7 (ps: Britney reminds me of a younger Madonna in her 'Circus' video or is it just me?!)

Yes it's just you, as if Madonna would release that drivel in her early years although I do agree with you on the lack of promotion of her new single, they probably couldnt be bothered seeing as she aint with them no more.

16. Jason -
Leona's Run is a worthy no. 1. If there was any justice, this should be the Record of the year. Re: Post. Hmmmmmm, We are all entitled to a piece of blog writing. Post 8 is obviously writing one...............

17. Yahoo! Music User -
Sad to see Oasis only get a new entry at 12, but i am not surprised, as this seems to be the trend nowadays for follow ups by other top stars.
The song is miles better than their last one, and should have been the first release in my opinion.
Don't anyone knock them off though, like they're doing with Madonna.
The next new album by Madonna and also Oasis, will have a top 5 hit single, with their first single released from it.

18. Yahoo! Music User -
I see the xmas hits are returning to the charts in a big way, and expect quite a few more to make the top 40 next week.
Basshunter are 41 with Jingle Bells, and this is the only new xmas hit to chart so far this year, and will probably be the only new xmas hit this year, and it is as cheesy as you can imagine, with the typical Basshunter beat.
Perry Como is now outside the top 40, with the song that is used on an advert, and should be a hit next week, just like Andy Williams did last year, with his xmas advert hit.

19. Yahoo! Music User -
I am very surprised that There isn't another Take That track charting in the top 75, from their new number 1 album, The Circus.
Britney has done it this week, and Beyonce also did it, but a band who is mega huge, and has just had the 3rd fastest selling album in history this week, absolutely amazes me that they don't have another one, apart from an older hit, in the top 75.

20. Yahoo! Music User -
Ok James, you got it unexpectedly right about Will's Grace ! But you are hooked on singles man, they bought the album instead ! It makes so much sense, Let It Go is a great album. Have you noticed that great singles do not great albums make? Loads of "disappointment "in the album charts, have a look!
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