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Week Ending December 13th 2008

Posted Sun 7 Dec 2008 10:07PM GMT by James Masterton in Chart Watch UK

I'm consistently entertained by the ever growing gap between the two methods of music consumption - the old-school world of freshly minted CDs and eager shop-bound purchases, and the bold new age of digital purchasers, where music is brought to the consumer by means of a single click. The different issues this throws up are nicely highlighted this week by the two stories that developed at the summit of the singles and albums charts.

The story of the album chart was the simultaneous release of two almost identically titled albums and no small measure of concern about whether there was going to be enough product available to satisfy demand. Having enough people to buy your music is one thing, actually getting the stuff into the shops is another thing altogether, and the collapse into administration a week ago of the Woolworths Group and in particular its distribution arm EUK left several labels scrambling for alternatives. EUK's share of the market was quite considerable, with many of the majors trusting the logistics of getting discs into stores to the company. With its future on a less than sound financial footing, handing over thousands of freshly minted CDs was seen as more of a risk than many were willing to take and so at the very last minute some important plans were changed. This left more than few retailers sweating on the prospect of consumers seeking copies of both 'The Circus' by Take That and 'Circus' by Britney Spears and the nightmare scenario that they would run short of stock within a few days - just as the Christmas shopping rush got into full swing.

In the end it appears that any problems of supply were limited, but far from being the two horse race many predicted, it is Take That who end up the runaway winners. They crash into the Number One position and leaving Ms Spears languishing at Number 4. Indeed such was the lack of supply problems that 'The Circus' clocked up a phenomenal first week sale of over 432,000 copies, enough to rank as the third highest one week sale of all time in this country. Only 'X&Y' and 'Be Here Now' can boast a seven day sale higher than this - that is the league in which Take That are now operating. The chances of the man band having the biggest selling album of the holiday period look extremely likely.

This will inevitably sweeten the pill of seeing their single 'Greatest Day' deposed from its own Number One position after a solitary week, replaced instead by the lady who is fast becoming their own chart nemesis. In one of those strange coincidences that synchronised release schedules sometimes manage to throw up, they are replaced at Number One by the same act that deposed 'Patience' from top in 2006 and who prevented 'Rule The World' from topping the chart in 2007 - Leona Lewis.

She does so with a track that is firmly in the new world of digital sales, for not only is 'Run' technically nothing more than an album track subject to enormous public demand, but in seven days it has notched up a staggering 133,000 downloaded copies - officially the greatest ever single week sale for an exclusively digital track. Much as we criticised the decision of her label to delay the digital availability of the brand new tracks from the deluxe re-release of her debut album 'Spirit', it now looks to be a masterstroke of marketing. Following her show-stopping debut of the recording on the X Factor show a few weeks ago and near saturation airplay ever since, her mesmerising cover of the Snow Patrol hit has been the most anticipated single release I can remember for some considerable time. A Number One (her third, for anyone counting) was all but guaranteed but I don't think anyone could have predicted just what a success it has turned out to be.

For all that, opinion on the single itself is actually rather divided. It is a theme that will actually become even more relevant as we march towards the Christmas chart, but your view on the record is almost certainly coloured by your regard for the original version (which slips to Number 42 this week following its own spontaneous resurrection a fortnight ago). If you thought Snow Patrol were definitive, then the lavish production of the Leona Lewis version and her trademark vocal trilling will seem rather irritating and will only serve to suck the life out of the simple beauty of the song. On the other hand if you are like me and had little regard for the original, then you will be absolutely knocked sideways by this new version. Leona's 'Run' is that rare beast, a pop record with the power to knock you sideways with its intensity and all but compel you to pay close attention to the crystal clear beauty of her voice and the way it drags the track to a whole new level.

Its success, and commanding lead over the rest of the market, means that 'Run' is in pole position to head the "Christmas Number One without X Factor" market, and indeed Paddy Power at the time of writing has the track installed as the 10-11 odds-on favourite. Listeners to the podcast three weeks ago who took me up on my advice to back her then when she was as far out as 8-1 should be well on their way to a nice early Christmas bonus.

Now she may have missed out in the albums race, but the week long Britney Spears bandwagon that has rolled into town has at least helped her where singles are concerned. Lead track 'Womanizer' which had fallen as far back as Number 9 a fortnight ago rebounds in spectacular fashion to land a brand new peak of Number 3. Perhaps more intriguingly though is the unexpected Top 40 debut at Number 32 of the albums title track 'Circus'. Already being promoted to radio Stateside, and with the release of its video brought forward this week following an internet leak, the track is technically slated to be her next single proper on these shores too - but not until well into the new year. This may of course be just a one-off bounce thanks to cherrypicking of the best tracks from the album (of which 'Circus' is most definitely one) but it does mean that the eventual impact of the new single is going to be lessened when it finally does make its way onto release schedules.

The two Britney singles are actually just a small part of an extraordinary characteristic of this weeks Top 10. No less than eight of the ten acts at the top of the table can boast two (and in one case three) simultaneous Top 40 singles at the present time. Just count them:

  • Leona Lewis - 'Run' (No.1) and 'Forgive Me' (No.24)
  • Take That - 'Greatest Day' (No.2) and 'Rule The World' (No.40)
  • Britney Spears - 'Womanizer' (No.3) and 'Circus' (No.32)
  • Katy Perry - 'Hot N Cold' (No.4) and 'I Kissed A Girl' (No.38)
  • Beyonce - 'If I Were A Boy' (No.6) and 'Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It)' (No.37)
  • Rihanna - 'Live Your Life' (No.7 with TI), 'Rehab' (No.20) and 'Disturbia' (No.35)
  • Akon - 'Right Now (Na Na Na) (No.8) and 'Dangerous' (No.26 with Kardinal Offishall)
  • Kings Of Leon - 'Use Somebody' (No.10) and 'Sex On Fire' (No.14)

What if Oasis released a new single and nobody really cared? Such is the fate that has befallen 'I'm Outta Time' which makes its chart debut at Number 12 as the second chart single from the 'Dig Out Your Soul' album. Their problem is that with this album they have fallen victim to what I term "Depeche Mode syndrome" where a long established act slips into a seemingly endless pattern of releasing albums that are no better and no worse than any of their others, but which as a consequence make little or no cultural impact and sell only to an ever constant hard core of collectors and fans. When I voiced this theory to a well known industry mogul once he responded with "who are we to make value judgements ?" Well sorry, but I am. I want to hear great acts making music that still matters, that adds to their opus and which dare I say it, has a point to it and proves they still have something to contribute. By charting at Number 12 and almost inevitably progressing no further, 'I'm Outta Time' is destined to become only the third official Oasis single ever to miss the Top 10, and the first to fall short since 'Shakermaker' hit Number 11 way back in the summer of 1994.

Seeing as we are two weeks away from the Christmas chart, we must naturally pay due attention to the arrival of an important annual tradition. I refer of course to the one achingly credible club hit which always seems to grab itself a place in the Christmas charts and which serves as an oddly comforting reminder that it isn't all about sentimental slush and irritating novelty hits which have no business muscling in on the most hectic sales period of the year. Leading the charge to become this years 'Heartbroken' or 'Boogie 2Nite' is 'Cash In My Pocket' from Wiley which lands at Number 18. Technically it is actually just the follow- up to his breakthrough smash hit 'Wearing My Rolex' from earlier in the summer, but in a chart that is largely devoid for the moment of any strong influences from clubland (I'm still of a generation which is having trouble adjusting to the notion of Guru Josh being cool), it is worth welcoming the single as a neat injection of credibility. I suspect however that it will be heading south before the parties really kick in which is a bit of a shame. Also featuring on the single is Daniel Merriweather, the Australian singer who first came to attention as the vocalist on Mark Ronson's 'Stop Me' in 2007. Reports are that he has a solo album of his own set for release in 2009, so chalk him up as a name to watch out for.

OK then I'll stop teasing. What is now certain to become the annual invasion of the Christmas classics is well underway with 'All I Want For Christmas Is You' now charting at Number 17, 'Fairytale Of New York' arriving at Number 19 and 'Last Christmas' at Number 36. As an entertaining diversion, bookmakers such as Paddy Power are also publishing odds on what will be the highest charting seasonal classic come Christmas week itself. Based on last years performance (and it seems chart trends thus far) it is the Mariah Carey track which is the clear favourite with The Pogues not far behind. If we are short of amusement in a fortnights time, I may take time out to note whether the Christmas hits all line up in the same sales order as last year. How strange would that be?

Gratuitous plugs to end with this week, remember the annual Record Of The Year TV shows from a few years back? Well the organisers still run the popular vote online even in the absence of a televised special. At the moment the race is too close to call, although thankfully the early lead of 'Rockstar' is well on its way to being whittled away to nothing.

Also of interest to chart fans is a two part BBC Radio 2 documentary on our favourite musical medium "Straight In At Number One" which is being broadcast on Saturday nights at the moment. Part One went out last weekend, with Part Two following at 7pm. Yes, it cleverly clashes with the X Factor final but it is worth checking out via your preferred catch up service. You may recognise at least one of the "experts" featured within.

Oh yes, and if we are permitted a small flashback to the events of four weeks ago it was fun to read some disparaging comments in relation to my reaction to Will Young's track 'Grace' bombing out at Number 35. "James Masterton need shed no tears for Will Young's new single Grace reaching 35 in the charts, it's not released until Dec.1st. Do try to keep up James!" was one of my favourite ones. This week the single was indeed released "properly" and bounces back from the depths to a new peak of, er Number 33. Still far and away his worst chart performance ever and one that more or less kills any further promotion for the album stone dead. See, I'm not always just pretending to know what I'm talking about. Do try to keep up.

105 Comments

41. Charles -
I'm just wondering if Madonna will appear on X-factor if Simon invites her to (instead of Britney). If so, Miles Away will definitely soar and Womaniser will continue its plummeting...

42. John -
Yeah, 'candyman' might've peaked lower but did it disappear as quickly as 'keeps getting better' is right now? wouldn't think so.

and i said christmas songs dont make a big impact anywhere else, including the northern hemisphere, where it is winter during the festive season.

graham please give this crap a rest, haven't you realised by now people don't take you seriously.

oh btw, i reckon 'no can do' by the sugababes will flop, pretty weak song. just sneak into the top 20 if lucky...

43. James -
Post 37 - I agree with you that the Christmas "season" doesn't seem quite as pronounced this year - I guess everyone who bought the songs last year already has them this year. I'm looking forward to the first qualification of England to a major football tournament under the download era, because I expect for two weeks we'll have a Christmas-song style rush of football tracks which drop out in one week. Most of them will be rubbish, but it will be interesting on the chart. Not relevant for another 18 months, I guess...

Post 36 - Your comment re: Think Twice and it being at #1 in the 21st frame being a possible record is interesting. Haven't checked this, but I wonder if Bohemian Rhapsody came close or beat this during its second trip to the top in the early nineties??

44. James -
Graham - you are missing a few key points. Retailers aren't just selling one record a week, they're selling a few of each of a large product base. One of the underlying statistics from the OCC data, if you choose to believe it, is that in the days of downloads, they're selling a few items from a wide product range, instead of a lot of units from the Top 40 this days.

Also - the selling of a single is perhaps not supposed to be a mass-profit exercise, but money is made from royalties on tv and radio, subsequent concerts, appearance fees etc... and you probably up your value for these things by being in the charts - that's how I understand it.

All of that said, it does surprise me that in a country of 70m people, the best selling record of the week often "only" shifts 50,000 copies - i.e 0.07% of the population, or less than one person in a thousand. But I don't question the OCC's figures, I just presume that means there's a lot of people downloading music illegally, just as they used to tape it off the radio.

45. Sean -
We have now reached the time of year when it is pointless to complain about Christmas records in the charts. Instead, we need to go and hunt for a positive angle to the seasonal slush. And I think I have found something. The Christmas week chart last year had, by my reckoning, 28 Christmas songs in the Top 100. But only two were new releases, by the Killers and Katie Melua / Eva Cassidy. This year, there are already at least 3 first-time Christmas tracks in the Chart - Glasvegas, Gabriella Climi and Macy Gray. Maybe 4 - I'm not sure if both Glasvegas songs are Christmas-related. So, that is an improvement, surely ?

A couple of questions for chart enthusiasts. I notice that Brenda Lee's fabulously chirpy "Rocking Around The Christmas Tree" is back at #94. If this moves into the Top 75 next week, then will it set any records ? Firstly, it would be Brenda Lee's first hit since 1965 - a 43 year gap. Where would that leave her in the all-time list of biggest gaps in a career ? Secondly, her version of "Rocking Around The Christmas Tree" has only been a hit (i.e. Top 75 / Top 40 in the pre-Top 75 days) once before - in 1962. So, where would this leave the record in the all-time list of longest gaps between chart runs ?

46. Regino -
graham in xmas? no...
speaking of that, if some sales are missing, why estimate it then?

47. Yahoo! Music User -
I suppose the biggest xmas hit this year, will be by Geraldine (Peter Kay) which will be a new release, but probably a forgettable one, that won't chart every year.
I see George Michael is also releasing a brand new xmas song, and his first since Last Xmas, but it is only available as a download from xmas eve, so won't chart xmas week.
It may even be as a free download, at which case, it won't chart at all, due to the chart rules.
Someone mentioned about a possible 43 year gap for Brenda Lee.
I can think of a long gap from a song, getting in the charts, and that is Trail of the lonesome pine, by Laurel & Hardy which got to number 2 at xmas in 1975, and was featured in the 1937 classic, Way out West.
Others i can think of are, White Christmas, by Bing Crosby, Moonlight Serenade by Glenn Miller, The Continental by Maureen mcgovern, and i'm sure there are lots others.

48. James -
On rereading my previous post I'm not sure it's clear enough that I do not in any way support any sort of conspiracy theory! There's no reason why there would be any benefit to the OCC, the record labels, or anyone in under-estimating the size of the industry.

But, beneath all the 'conspiracy' talk is a valid question - who are the 6,500 retailers that make up the OCC's figures? Since sales of singles at Tesco and Asda seem to be included in the chart on the rare occasions when they stock some (the Katie Melua/Eva Cassidy track a year ago), how many of these retailers are stocking singles week-in, week-out?

49. Yahoo! Music User -
blimey gooner194 are you about a hundred years old!! As its generally agreed the official charts were started in 1952, i dont think these count.

The longest gap in chart years that I can think of is Perez Prado between 1958 and when Guaglione from the Guiness ad charted again in 1995. nearly 47 years apart from a couple of months.

50. First L -
apart from the fact I cant add up and thats only 37 years

51. woody132 -
Madonna Rocks and She'll Be back next year with a HUGE album...


Sticky & Sweet!


Highest grossing tour by a solo (female) Artist-
EVER
WOOO

x

52. Yahoo! Music User -
NO NO NO conspiracy theory NO NO NO

Captilism thoery YES!
MONEY MONEY MONEY in the words of ABBA. Each week the record companies make millions of pounds. Fraud is common we are told among the poor IE: target benefit cheats, but the rich can get away with it.
Take that X-Factor record, OCC sales under 700,000, actual sales 1,138,000 as of 9/12.
You could say buy one get one free, for the record company.

Why does anybody think figures from a body who was set up by the industry itself to be fair?

Want proof? Ask James his wages, ask Cowell the same, ask anybody, some will tell most not. Would you like somebody poking around in your money making efforts? Neither do any chart supply firms. So Tesco and the like are paid by OCC pay to spill the beans. Won't be much for the big firms, "a bit of bubbly" as Benton says.

Please cut the X-Files crap and think like Cowell £££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
MONEY it's a rich man's world......

53. Yahoo! Music User -
Okay Graham you're really pissing me off now. After a few wks free of your rubbish I thought you had finally taken the hint to GET LOST.

So Yahoo Music Users let's start a petition!! Everyone who thinks Graham should be banned from this blog please sign in and say
I

54. grumpyoldgit.com -
"I imagine that 'Think Twice''s achievement in having reached 21 weeks on chart in its seventh and final week on the top must be an all-time record for the latest point in a chart run to still be at Number One... I don't know if anyone can confirm or deny this?!?"

"I Believe" by Frankie Laine spent it's 23rd chart week at the top on 05/09/1953 vanderelt.

55. Yahoo! Music User -
post 53, that is quite uncalled for.
Graham is entitled to his opinion, and entitled to list it on this blog, as long as it is to do with the charts, which it is.
I admit that i am not a fan of his blogs, but there is no need to start getting upset about it, and call for a petition to remove him.
If you want something removed, then i suggest the idiot who leaves a blog every week, such as post number 8, who leaves spam, urging people to go to an interacial loving website.
I have asked for that to be removed, but sadly it is still there.
I managed to get 2 removed last week.

56. Rich -
I've chosen to think of the track writers as the headlines for this years Xmas battle. I'm looking forwards to Gary Lightbody and Leonard Cohen battling it out at the top of the charts with two classic songs.

TBH though Leona's version or Run does do the song justice, I just hope that the Xfactor winner is someone who can actually sing Hallelujah...

57. grumpyoldgit.com -
Post 36 - Your comment re: Think Twice and it being at #1 in the 21st frame being a possible record is interesting. Haven't checked this, but I wonder if Bohemian Rhapsody came close or beat this during its second trip to the top in the early nineties??

If you were to count both entries as the same release (which officially they are not) then 22 weeks would have elapsed between Bohemian Rhapsody first entering the chart on 08/11/1975 and enjoying its last week at the top on 18/01/1992. The fact however is that the second release after Freddie's death is seperate and it was a double A-sider with "These Are The Days Of Our Lives".

58. Yahoo! Music User -
For me Celine Dion has the last great UK #1 Single. In the sense that she did it the old fashioned way. I knew some of her French stuff and her efforts in the US from as far back as 1992 ('Beauty & the Beast,'If you ask me to'). But in the UK she was middling along when I heard 'Misled' and bought the cassette(!) single. I (and many others) didn't pay attention to 'Think twice' when it came out in November 1994, as I was far too busy with Baby D, The Stone Roses, MC Sar/The Real McCoy and...erm, Jimmy Nail.

You can imagine how taken aback I was when it appeared on the BBC Radio 1 UK Top 40 of 1994 in the lower 30's. Amongst all the furore over the Xmas #1 (East 17) and big singles (Mariah Carey, Oasis etc.) little Celine was slowly continuing her climb in the 20's. That's the point at which I started to watch this slow burner very closely. And when it hit the top a month later it was well deserved and went on to be a massive European hit. In the UK, when it slipped from #1 (Hynde/Cherry/Cher/Clapton) I think it hung around the Top 40 for another 2-3 months. I'm just sorry it kept Annie Lennox's cover of 'No more I love you's' off the top spot.

In my opinion 'Think twice' is a true classic in which she evades the tonsil gymnastics and lets her vocals guide you through the song to the powerful, pleading, crescendo. I'm not into love songs/mushy numbers, but only 'Think twice' and '(Pour que) Tu m'aimes encore' - referred to as "that French song" by Robbie Williams in September 1995 when he guest presented TOTP - can make the hairs on the back of my neck stand up.

Another slow burner was Natalie Cole's 'Miss you like crazy' in 1989.

59. Yahoo! Music User -
Although it didn't make the top 20, Amazed by Lonestar spent an incredible 21 weeks in the top 40, without making the top 20, and only got to 21.
It was certainly a record for being the longest time in the top 40, without reaching the top 20, and as far as i know, the record still stands.

60. Luke -
ah cheers for the info on celine dion guys. It really helped :)
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