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Week Ending January 17th 2009

Posted Sun 11 Jan 2009 10:04PM GMT by James Masterton in Chart Watch UK

Personally speaking I take the constant barrage of "faces to watch in the new year" articles that populate the music pages of most publications at this time of year with a large pinch of salt. Very few of these predictions are based on high level expert insight into the musical trends of the year but instead rely on a quick scan of the release schedules to check on which new bands have their albums due for release in the first few months of the year, plus a quick shuffle of the press release pile to note which acts are particular priorities for their respective labels. I've done it myself plenty of times.

Nonetheless those in the know boldly predict that 2009 is to be the year of the electrogirl with a procession of serious-faced young ladies waiting in the wings to seduce us with their 80s-throwback soundtracked warblings. Shoehorning Lady Gaga into that category may be pushing it slightly but if you are looking for a totemistic herald of the sound of things to come then you need look no further than the effortless ascent of her debut single 'Let's Dance' to Number One. Thus the UK and US charts begin the year in perfect sync, Lady Gaga also sitting proudly atop the Hot 100 this week. With the single having already topped the charts in Canada, Australia and New Zealand it makes the predictions that Miss Germanotta is set to establish herself as a superstar seem entirely appropriate.

Honourable mention must also be made of Colby O'Donis who gets a co-credit on the single and indeed gets a whole verse to himself in the middle. The protege of Akon has a solo record of his own waiting in the wings to be promoted internationally but for the moment his chart career to date has consisted of the Lady Gaga hit, plus a guest appearance on Akon's single 'Beautiful' which struggled to catch fire when released back in December but which reappears this week at Number 66.

It may not quite have fulfilled predictions that it would become the first new chart-topper of the year but 'Broken Strings' successfully negotiates the post-holiday fallout to give James Morrison and Nelly Furtado the Number 2 single of the week. The track duly gives Morrison his highest chart placing ever, easing past the Number 5 peak of his debut hit 'You Give Me Something' in 2006. Co-star Nelly Furtado has been here before however, topping the chart under her own steam with 'Maneater' in the summer of the same year and featuring on Timbaland's 'Give It To Me' which similarly topped the chart in the spring of 2007.

Rounding off the Top 3 is the displaced Number One, 'Hallelujah' by Alexandra Burke. Despite this fall from grace the single does have the consolation of (as was widely reported in the week) becoming only the 80th single in chart history to sell a million copies, the first to reach seven figures since Tony Christie's 'Is This The Way To Amarillo' did so in 2005 (EDIT: as one commenter pointed out, 'That's My Goal' by Shayne Ward also crept across the line in early 2006). Only seven other solo women before her have had million selling singles but perhaps most significantly of all none have been from the UK. Prior to this week the honour of the biggest selling single by a British female went to Julie Covington whose 1977 rendition of 'Don't Cry For Me Argentina' was certified at 993,000 copies.

For the record, the only other solo female stars to top seven figures are Kylie Minogue ('Can't Get You Out Of My Head', 1.03m in 2001), Whigfield ('Saturday Night', 1.09m in 1994), Celine Dion ('Think Twice', 1.2m in 1995 and 'My Heart Will Go On', 1.3m in 1998), Whitney Houston ('I Will Always Love You', 1.3m in 1992/1993), Jennifer Rush ('The Power Of Love', 1.3m in 1985), Britney Spears ('Baby One More Time', 1.4m in 1999) and Cher ('Believe', 1.7m in 1998).

With sales of 'Hallelujah' almost certainly set to sink, her next sales target is probably beyond her but it is worth noting just for the sake of it. The biggest selling single of all time by a British female act is set to remain 'Wannabe' by the Spice Girls which shifted 1,269,000 units in 1996 and is the 40th biggest seller in chart history.

Speaking of all-girl groups, I guess I wrote 'Issues' from The Saturdays off prematurely last week. Far from languishing at the lower end of the chart, their third single rockets to Number 6 to become one of the fastest rising tracks of the week. Maybe letting the wintry ballad arrive just after the holiday was the right thing to do. The all-girl group now have a perfect three Top 10 hits out of three following 'If This Is Love' and 'Up' which were both hits last year.

For the second time inside a month Beyonce has the honour of two simultaneous Top 10 hits on the singles chart. As 'If I Were A Boy' continues its graceful progression down the chart at Number 7, it is joined at Number 8 by the ever-advancing 'Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It)'. Whilst the Christmastime reappearance of 'Listen' was due to outside factors, the dual appearance of the two tracks this week is the most obvious UK impact to date of the increasingly common practice in the USA of promoting two singles at once from an album, each aimed at different sectors of the market and thus promoted to different sets of radio stations. The high chart placing of 'Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It)' throws into sharp focus the debate over just what constitutes a "single release" in this day and age. 'If I Were A Boy' has a physical version available, has its own catalogue number and despite not being bundled with any extra tracks is listed as a standalone purchase on sites like iTunes. 'Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It)' on the other hand is officially just an album cut, listed by the chart computer under its universal CATCO reference number and only available for purchase as Track 8 from the 'I Am.. Sasha Fierce' album. Then again it has a video which is in high rotation on TV and is being played on the radio and is the 8th biggest selling "single" of the week. So is it a single or not? Or maybe we should just regard it as what it truly is - a hit.

The third new arrival in the Top 40 is 'Let It Rock' from the festively named Kevin Rudolph (with Lil Wayne in tow). The UK chart is just the latest of many scaled worldwide by the new American star who writes and self-produces all of his insanely catchy material. 'Let It Rock' has found a natural home as an exciting promotional soundtrack both for television programmes and sporting events with the song having been adopted as an anthem by organisations as diverse as the Philadelphia Phillies and the WWE.

As the new year lull gives way to the January rush, the list of new hits creeping up the chart is almost too large to contemplate. Let's try to deal with a few anyway. Moving 38-14 is 'Heartless' from Kanye West, the follow up to 'Love Lockdown' and a track which like its predecessor features his much derided autotuned to the max singing voice. Listen carefully and there is at least a little bit of rapping in the song, a reassuring reminder that he hasn't totally forgotten where his true talents lie.

Perhaps the most surprising chart stride of the week is that of 'Kids' by MGMT. The NME's favourite single of 2008, the third single from the American synth-poppers flattered to deceive when released back in October, peaking at Number 25 after a four week climb. Following its end of year acclaim and some well placed exposure elsewhere, the single has reawakened since Christmas and after shouldering its way back into the Top 40 last week (having at one point fallen as far as Number 74), the single now outpeaks itself and motors to Number 16 to give the group far and away their biggest hit single to date.

The creative use of the new year downtime to give a renewed push to worthwhile but hitherto underperforming acts is a tactic that has not seen much use in recent years but which has reaped huge dividends in the past. Even superstars have been known to benefit from the tactic with Bruce Springsteen owing most of his British profile to an opportunistic re-release of 'Dancing In The Dark' in January 1985. Having made a rather lowly Number 28 when first released the previous May, the now classic single accelerated to Number 4 and sparked a wholesale recharting of his entire back catalogue thanks to the mainstream British audience who had effectively discovered him for the very first time.

Also on the move and set for higher placings next week are Ne-Yo (36-22 with 'Mad'), Britney Spears (43-24 with the reappearing 'Circus') and Jason Mraz whose pre-Christmas release 'I'm Yours' may finally be breaking through with a 61-34 climb. Big question marks still linger over the prospects of Girls Aloud's 'The Loving Kind' which moves sluggishly from 39-29. Their one hope is their dedicated fan following who may just be enthusiastic enough to order the CD single which hits what is left of the shops this week. Watch out also for Alesha Dixon's 'Breathe Slow' which appears for the first time on the Top 40 at Number 39, two places below Pink with her new hit 'Sober'.

Finally for this week the one genuine "what is that doing there" oddity, the Number 31 reappearance of 'Gangsta's Paradise' from Coolio. The 1995 Number One single makes its first chart appearance in 14 years thanks entirely to the presence of the rap star in the latest series of Celebrity Big Brother. It is his first Top 40 hit since the Number 14 appearance of 'Ooh La La' in 1997 although he did attempt a half hearted comeback just over two years ago, hitting Number 67 alongside Snoop Dogg on 'Gangsta Walk'. The arrival of 'Gangsta's Paradise' does mean that there are two million selling singles in the Top 40 this week. Having sold 1.25 million copies first time around, the single is (for the moment) the 43rd biggest seller of all time and was at one point the biggest selling rap single of all time on these shores. It is something of an honour to see it back once again.

75 Comments

1. Yahoo! Music User -
Thanks for the column. By the way, didn't Celine sell over a million copies of "My Heart Will Go On" in the UK? Plus, Pink's new single is called "Sober" not "I'm Yours" (which belongs to Jason Mraz).

2. Derek -
Great commentary as usual James - great to see Gangsta's Paradise back in the charts as well. I thought that Shayne Wards 2005 Xmas No.1 was the most recent milllion seller - did it just miss out on a million in the end (I hope it did!)

BTW Hope next million seller is not x-factor related.....

3. James Masterton -
Actually yes, I did indeed miss out My Heart Will Go On, although that doesn't change the number of women that have done it. Still worth correcting though.

That's My Goal did 874,000 in 2005 and 196,000 in 2007 so yes, it did indeed creep across a million. Wonder why I never updated the lists at the time...

4. Tyler -
Yes!!! Lady Gaga is #1!! She's taking over the world!

5. butchslug -
SO what displaced Coolio as the biggest selling rap tune??? Eminem's Stan, I would wager.

6. Yahoo! Music User -
Quick quiz question for you - no cheating: what number is this week's highest new entry?

Weirdly it's #34, Jason Mraz. It must be a while since the week's biggest brand new hit entered that low. But praise be that it finally is a hit.
Otherwise a nice chart this week, a breath of fresh air blowing away some of the Christmas cobwebs. Can anyone offer any explanation for the success of MGMT though? Three of their songs all shooting up the chart - why? I mean I'm happy, but I can't see any obvious reason for it.
Good discussion about what constitutes "a single". Maybe we should start saying "songs chart" rather than singles chart, as it's fast becoming a misnomer nowadays.

7. Iain -
Well done Huntjoo8. Your predictions were all correct except for Script's 'Break Even' which frustratingly still misses out on a top 20 place.

I wonder how quickly Alexandra Burke's single will burn out. Overall, not a good week for X Factor as the finalists' single takes a hefty plunge, as does Rhydian's album. Also did Leon Jackson release 'Creative' recently? It scraped the top 100 a few weeks ago but no sign of it anywhere last week. It certainly did nothing for his album - it's gone 75-90-140 in the past few weeks.

Great to see some big climbers in the top 40 this week, especially 'Kids' by MGMT and their previous singles also gained well. I think their album reached a new peak this week, too.

8. Iain -
Post 6 - I think 'Kids' by MGMT is being used on a BBC1 trailer just now. Also their album 'Oracular Spectacular' has been mentioned in many 'best albums of 2008' lists which will no doubt have sparked public interest.

Elbow and Fleet Foxes' albums have also gained for the same reason, I suspect.

9. Yahoo! Music User -
The rap song that displaced "Gangstas's Paradise" was in fact Puff Daddy's "I'll Be Missing You", which sold 1.4 million copies in 1997. This remains the highest selling rap single of all time.

10. Michael -
MGMT: Not only does "Kids" rise 37-16, but also my personal favourite of them "Electric Feel" 77-42 and "Time to Pretend" 106-60! MGMT, the next big thing?

11. Nick -
Post 5. I would very much doubt that any record released by Eminem outsold Puff Daddy and Faith Evans' tribute to Nototorious B.I.G, I'll Be Missing You, which I think sold over a million in 1997..

Hoorah!! Jason Mraz hits the top 40. I am hoping this will be a Rockstar style climber..

12. Jon -
in response to macca7174,the biggest selling rap single in the uk is Puff Daddy/Faith Evans - I'll Be Missing You, released in 1997, it sold about 1.4million if I remember rightly, Stan by Eminem only went platinum

13. Sebastian -
whats the explanation for the huge rise by the Saturdays?

Awful track I thought that this would seal their fate as a one album sorta girlband when it failed but now theyve gone and got three top ten hits which means we will be subjected to terrible music for many years to come

so glad MGMT is finally up there, Kids was my favorite song when I was in Ireland over the summer. It hit the top ten there a couple of weeks ago, i hope it does the same here

14. Moe -
Haha "what is left of the shops". Tell it like it is James lol Great blog as always.

Hey again everyone!

Although the #1 was a little predictable, quite alot of the chart this week actually had some surprises in store...well for me anyway...

For example, i wasn't expecting that "Let It Rock" single to reach the Top 10! And i assumed that Alexandra Burke would be #2 this week but to my surprise it was James Morrison!
Also i was surprised to see "Gangsta's Paradise" in the chart again! I don't watch Big Bother which is probably why i was left confused and surprised as to its re-entry...Also "Mad" by Ne-Yo peaked much higher than i expected...I hpe it can reach the Top 20... I am also glad that MGMT scored the Top 20 hit they deserved.

Take care everyone! :)

15. X -
Just to note "Just Dance" (not 'Let's Dance' James) didn't reach #1 in New Zealand. The song hit #3. The follow-up "Poker Face" however, has reached #1 there (for 9 weeks so far) and is also still #1 in Australia (8 weeks) and Canada (6 weeks).

Great also to see positive movement from Kevin Rudolf & MGMT

16. Yahoo! Music User -
I am surpised no-one has mentioned the fact that HIT 40UK has told the OCC not to use CD and other 'hard' copy sales anymore in their chart!
Instead of the copy of the top ten as used by Radio One on Sunday, Kevin Rudolf was outside the 10, and Burke and Leona swapped places.
A look at their website shows that most people are unhappy with the move, they would prefaire getting shut of the airplay.
However it does mean that if CD sales push a record to number one, it won't be there on Hit40UK. I'm thinking this might happen if Leona's Run is given that boost!
So will the OCC drop 'hard' sales from the full chart? I'm thinking not while HMV still sell them. The OCC wouldn't want them on their backs again!!

17. Regino -
Top 20 is quite interesting this week.
Albums though are still in slumber... except for Mraz's "We Sing, We Dance..." at 22 and climbs for James Morrison, The Script and Fleet Foxes.

Post 13
The reason for huge rise of Issues is simply they have fans, song got promotion and airplay. elloel
:D

Post 17
So they haven't shut the airplay? At least the chart is less fixed than the last time they just copy the Top 10.

So the reason for huge rise of Let It Rock is WWE?

18. James Masterton -
I do keep wanting to call the single 'Let's Dance' don't I? Part of the problem is whenever I try to hear the song in my head, it keeps turning into the old Five single of that name. That is a hideous burden to bear, please feel for me.

19. __A_YAHOO_USER__ -
The Hit 40 Chart has been a Joke for years now. The removal of physical sales now makes it an even bigger joke. I fully agree it would have made sense to remove AIRPLAY from the equation rather than physical sales. THE ONLY CHART THAT COUNTS is the OCC chart anyway, does any website or publication keep an eclectic record of the HIT 40 uk chart NO !!!! The only reason it exists is because they don't have the rights to broadcast the OCC chart. Shame really because if they could broadcast it Radio 1 would HAVE TO REPLACE Fearne & Reggie - and that's another gripe completely.

As expected Lady Gaga ft Colby o'Donis & Akon (Konvikt) at number one.

Don't be surprised to see it knocked off the top of the chart by 'King Cudi VS Crockers - Day 'n' Nite' next Sunday. Closely followed a week of so later by Lily Allen - The Fear at number one :)

20. Yahoo! Music User -
Post 20 clearly they don't have the rights, as the BBC pay part of the massive cost to (fix) produce the chart. They must however pay the OCC for they use thier data and they also collect the airplay for them.
The reason they used airplay was because the old 'hard' singles chart was too fast turnover and didn't reflect local radio listners.
With the OCC having a monopoly on sales charts and the high cost of making charts, the only real alternative for Hit40uk is to get either Amazon or I-tunes to allow them to broadcast the full week sales from either of these sites. The other sites don't seem to make a bit of difference. For instance if HMV are right than a flood of Kings of Leon tracks would be below the top 40 this week.
As for Radio One's chart show they copy Hit40 in style, just takes them a few years to catch up!
Otherwise you will have to wait till the BBC get the chop from some future government. The way the BBC has been behaving recently I say it could happen!
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